How many deaths will be attributed to swine influenza this year in the US?

According to the President's Council of Advisors on Science and Technology, up to 90,000 deaths from swine flu are projected for this season. As a point of reference, about 40,000 deaths are attributed to regular, good ol' influenza each year.

Agree? Disagree w/ the projection?

Official number of deaths from swine flu is being tracked by the CDC (http://www.cdc.gov/h1n1flu/update.htm#totalcases) which reports 522 deaths already this year.


Source

Dushoff, J. et al. "Mortality due to Influenza in the United States - An Annualized Regression Approach Using Multiple-Cause Mortality Data" American Journal of Epidemiology. 2006.

"Report: Swine flu could cause up to 90,000 US deaths" http://www.cnn.com/2009/HEALTH/08/24/us.swine.flu.projections/index.html
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